Harris gains 6-point lead over Trump among likely voters, ex-prez holds edge among males: Poll

Sept. 2, 2024, 1:26 a.m.

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As the competition for the presidency intensifies, US Vice President Kamala Harris has managed to gain a 6-point lead over former President Donald Trump in the most recent poll, reflecting the support of potential voters in the upcoming 2024 US Presidential Elections. The Democratic presidential nominee has taken the lead over her Republican opponent in at least nine surveys conducted after the Democratic National Convention.

According to the ABC News/Ipsos poll, released on Sunday, Harris edged out Trump 50 per cent to 46 per cent among all adults and registered voters. Her advantage increased when looking at the likely voters survey, where 52 per cent of respondents indicated they would support Harris compared to the 46 per cent supporting Trump.

Advertisement The poll was taken on August 23-27 and reflected the “essentially unchanged” four-point edge of Harris among registered voters. Last time the same poll awarded a 5-point lead to the US Vice President among the likely voters.

‘Statistically unchanged’: Pollsters Following the release of the survey the pollsters noted that the findings are similar and statistically unchanged from another poll conducted in August. Meanwhile, the Outward Intelligence Survey also reflected that Harris was up more than five points in both two-way (52.6 per cent to 47.4 per cent) and five-way (49.5 per cent to 44 per cent) matchups with third-party candidates on the ballot.

Although recent polls did not indicate a significant surge in support for Harris, her standing was nevertheless stronger compared to pre-DNC 2024 polling figures. A pre-convention survey conducted by ABC News, Washington Post, and Ipsos revealed that Harris secured the backing of 49% of registered voters, while Trump garnered 45% support.

The figures based on gender revealed a different picture. Harris led by 13 points among women — 54 per cent to 41 per cent — while Trump led by 5 points among men — 51 per cent to 46 per cent. Prior to the convention, Harris had a 6-point lead among women, pollsters noted.

Advertisement The Harris campaign also received considerable support from respondents. The vice president performed better in terms of campaign management, with 56% of Americans indicating that she had done an excellent or good job in running her campaign. Approximately 41% expressed the same sentiment about Trump, signifying that a majority of respondents held unfavorable views regarding the campaign's direction.

Where did Trump excel? Meanwhile, the former president surpassed Harris in terms of public trust on key issues, including the economy and inflation, where he held an 8-point lead in both categories. He also maintained a 9-point advantage over Harris concerning his approach to addressing the US-Mexico border crisis.

Advertisement However, Harris was still viewed as more trustworthy than Trump in regards to “protecting American democracy” and Supreme Court appointments. It is pertinent to note that the ABC News/Ipsos poll involved 2,496 completed interviews. The margin of sampling error is 2.1 percentage points at the 95 per cent confidence level.